AI Sales Forecasting - Predict Volume per SKU, per Channel
Tilect's forecasting module predicts upcoming sales volume using one model per SKU and per channel, enriched with calendar, weather, macroeconomic, and on-shelf signals. In measured deployments it runs at 90–97% accuracy up to six months ahead, with a median of 94.6% at a one-month horizon. Every forecast ships with a confidence band, not just a point estimate, so planners can hedge.
What Tilect Forecasting does
Tilect predicts demand far enough ahead to plan production, inventory, and pricing - and feeds those forecasts directly into the price and promotion engines. Forecast error is expensive: the Institute of Business Forecasting estimates that a 1% reduction in forecast error saves roughly €1.24M per year in inventory carrying cost for a mid-sized manufacturer.
How accurate is it?
90–97% up to six months ahead, with a median of 94.6% at a one-month horizon and 91.2% at six months - all measured live on the customer cohort, not on a static benchmark. That is roughly 38% better than the legacy planning tools we have benchmarked against.
Accuracy holds because Tilect runs continuous backtesting against the last 24 months of actuals and automatically retires models when drift appears. There is no "set and forget"; the model that scored you in May is not necessarily the model scoring you in November.
How the models are built
One model per SKU and per channel
Not one model for the whole catalogue. Tail SKUs get their own dedicated model rather than being averaged into a category baseline.
The feature set
Calendar, weather, macroeconomic indicators, and on-shelf availability signals are built in. You bring transactions; we bring the context.
Confidence intervals, not point forecasts
Every forecast ships with a band. Planners can hedge production, safety stock, and promo commitments against the upper or lower bound.
Continuous backtesting & drift detection
A 24-month rolling backtest runs in the background. Models that drift outside tolerance are automatically retired and retrained.
What you need to provide
Bring roughly 24 months of historical transactions: product, quantity, price, date. We connect via CSV/XLSX upload or via plug-ins for SAP, Oracle, Salesforce, Snowflake, and Google Sheets. Ingestion, type-checking, and feature enrichment finish in under three days.
With pre-trained category baselines for Food & Beverage, Automotive, and Consumer Goods, production forecasts arrive in week one. The median time from "data in" to first acted-on recommendation is about 11 days.
How forecasting connects to pricing & competitive intelligence
Forecasts are not a destination - they feed the elasticity model that Pricing Optimization uses to find profit-maximizing prices, and they are adjusted in real time by signals from Competitive Intelligence (typical lift on forecast accuracy: ±0.6%). Three modules, one decision layer.
Who uses Tilect Forecasting
Already in production with leading Food & Beverage and Automotive players, with growing footprint in Brands and Retail & Distribution.
Questions, answered.
How accurate is Tilect's sales forecasting?
90–97% up to six months ahead in measured deployments; median 94.6% at a one-month horizon and 91.2% at six months, on the live customer cohort.
How far ahead can it forecast?
Up to six months, with confidence bands at every horizon rather than a single point estimate.
Does it forecast at SKU level?
Yes - one model per SKU and per channel, including long-tail SKUs.
How long until I get my first forecast?
Production forecasts in week one using pre-trained category baselines. Median time from data to first recommendation is about 11 days.
What data do I need to provide?
Roughly 24 months of historical transactions (product, quantity, price, date). Tilect supplies the calendar, weather, macroeconomic, and on-shelf features.
Do I need to replace my planning system?
No. Tilect sits between your data and your decisions and feeds results back into your existing stack.
See it on your own data.
Run an 8-week Proof of Value. Cost is 100% deductible from the annual subscription if signed within 60 days.